What changed.
New observations and revisions, with the previous value.
Event odds
Event odds
Event odds
Positioning report
US 10-year Treasury note leveraged-fund positioning
Net contracts · 13 Oct 2026 → 20 Oct 2026
Source ↗-2,205,937 → -2,107,224
Positioning report
Japanese yen leveraged-fund positioning
Net contracts · 13 Oct 2026 → 20 Oct 2026
Source ↗-33,673 → -22,890
Positioning report
Euro FX leveraged-fund positioning
Net contracts · 13 Oct 2026 → 20 Oct 2026
Source ↗-68,001 → -68,840
Event odds
Event odds
Event odds
Event odds
Event odds
Event odds
Event odds
Event odds
Positioning report
Positioning report
Japanese yen leveraged-fund positioning
Net contracts · 6 Oct 2026 → 13 Oct 2026
Source ↗-25,043 → -33,673
Positioning report
US 10-year Treasury note leveraged-fund positioning
Net contracts · 6 Oct 2026 → 13 Oct 2026
Source ↗-2,139,785 → -2,205,937
Event odds
Event odds
Event odds
Event odds
Event odds
Event odds
Positioning report
US 10-year Treasury note leveraged-fund positioning
Net contracts · 29 Sep 2026 → 6 Oct 2026
Source ↗-2,036,432 → -2,139,785
Positioning report
Japanese yen leveraged-fund positioning
Net contracts · 29 Sep 2026 → 6 Oct 2026
Source ↗-14,161 → -25,043
Positioning report
Event odds
Event odds
Updated
Updated
India exposure data
Current account (% of GDP)
-0.4 · 2025 → -0.5 · 2025
Reserve cover (months of imports)
7.9 · 2025 → 7.9 · 2025
Net energy imports (% of energy use)
Source ↗36.1 · 2023 → 36.0 · 2024
Updated
Updated
Germany exposure data
Current account (% of GDP)
4.5 · 2025 → 4.4 · 2025
Reserve cover (months of imports)
3.1 · 2025 → 3.1 · 2025
Net energy imports (% of energy use)
Source ↗70.5 · 2023 → 70.3 · 2024
Updated
Japan exposure data
Reserve cover (months of imports)
14.0 · 2025 → 14.0 · 2025
Net energy imports (% of energy use)
Source ↗87.3 · 2023 → 87.3 · 2024
Updated
United Kingdom exposure data
Current account (% of GDP)
-2.4 · 2025 → -3.1 · 2025
Reserve cover (months of imports)
1.4 · 2025 → 1.4 · 2025
Net energy imports (% of energy use)
Source ↗44.0 · 2023 → 47.6 · 2024
Updated
United States exposure data
Current account (% of GDP)
-3.6 · 2025 → -3.8 · 2025
Reserve cover (months of imports)
2.8 · 2025 → 2.8 · 2025
Net energy imports (% of energy use)
Source ↗-9.0 · 2023 → -9.8 · 2024
Event odds
Event odds
Positioning report
Euro FX leveraged-fund positioning
Net contracts · 22 Sep 2026 → 29 Sep 2026
Source ↗-26,694 → -39,265
Positioning report
Japanese yen leveraged-fund positioning
Net contracts · 22 Sep 2026 → 29 Sep 2026
Source ↗7,423 → -14,161
Positioning report
US 10-year Treasury note leveraged-fund positioning
Net contracts · 22 Sep 2026 → 29 Sep 2026
Source ↗-1,926,947 → -2,036,432
Added to tracker
Added to tracker
EU carbon-border certificate sales
Importers begin buying certificates covering 2026 emissions.
Source ↗Added to tracker
Added to tracker
Added to tracker
Added to tracker
Added to tracker
Added to tracker
Election updated
Spain parliamentary election
Schedule
July 2027 (estimated) → 29 Nov 2026
Date certainty
Source ↗expected → confirmed